02 February 2015

Election prediction for May

I'm currently working on a seat by seat prediction, but this is how I think things will broadly go:

Labour will get around 33-34% of the vote and end up short of a majority by about 20; it will have to do some form of deal with the SNP and/or Lib Dems if it wants to get anything done.

Sadly UKIP are now just too strong - and I doubt there is another leader of Blair quality in the party at least this side of 2025.

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